Virtual currency Bitcoin -- or "digital gold" to its fans -- has enjoyed a gravity-defying rise along with wild price swings, sparking fears it could be the latest financial market "bubble."
Bitcoin was worth just a
few US cents when it began life in 2009 and last week changed hands for
a staggering $17,000 despite having no central bank backing and no
legal exchange rate.
Here are some of the most wild speculative bubbles in history -- ranging from tulips to teddy bears:
Dutch 'Tulipmania'
At
the beginning of the 17th century, exotic tulips became the ultimate
luxury accessory and status symbol for rich and poor alike.
People
mortgaged houses and sold businesses just to buy a bulb. At one point, a
single tulip bulb fetched up to $150,000 at today's prices.
With
prices rising to more than 100 times the average annual income, bulbs
were being traded for land, livestock and houses -- a rare bulb was even
considered an acceptable dowry for a bride.
During
what is commonly viewed as the first speculative bubble, rumours were
deliberately spread to influence prices and there were reports of
skullduggery such as training animals to dig up tulip fields.
The
bubble burst in 1637 after a disappointing turn-out to a tulip auction
in Haarlem. Prices plunged, banks failed and people lost their life
savings -- all for a pretty flower.
Japanese asset bubble
In
the mid-1980s, the Japanese economy ruled the world. Its high-quality,
technologically advanced products dominated export markets and
everything seemed to be "made in Japan."
Fuelled
by this success -- and ultra-loose monetary policy -- Japan's Nikkei
index tripled between 1985 and 1989 and Japanese firms were worth nearly
half of the entire world's corporate sector.
With all this money sloshing around and credit cheap and easy to obtain, speculators piled into real estate and prices exploded.
At the height of the boom, it was said the Imperial Palace in central Tokyo was worth the same as the whole of California.
Government
policies aimed at deflating the bubble ended up pricking it violently.
The stock market plummeted and house prices went through the floor,
ruining millions.
The bust ushered in
what economists called a "lost decade" of economic stagnation and
deflation, the effects of which are still being felt today.
Dot.com madness
The
internet and tech boom of the late 1990s resulted in some "dot.com"
companies being valued at billions of dollars despite not having made a
cent in profits.
Young
internet tycoons became millionaires overnight as investors piled into
any company with a dot.com domain name in the belief the web had upended
the rules of business.
At the height of the boom came the AOL-Time Warner merger, at the time the biggest in corporate history.
The
boom prompted then Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan to warn
about "irrational exuberance" in asset prices, widely seen as a warning
about the dot.com bubble.
Funding dried
up as it became clear many internet companies held wildly inflated
valuation based on pie-in-the-sky profit forecasts.
Thousands
of internet companies bit the dust and investors lost trillions of
dollars as the tech-heavy NASDAQ market spiralled downwards.
Subprime crisis
The
subprime boom-and-bust of the late 2000s was based on extremely complex
financial instruments that "sliced and diced" risky mortgage assets and
bundled them together.
Banks and
mortgage lenders offered credit to uncreditworthy homeowners in the
belief that by packaging these loans together, the risks could be
reduced.
The financial wizardry fuelled a
housing market boom as speculators snapped up houses they never
intended to live in to build up their "collateralised" portfolio.
The
bust came when investors realised that the flip-side of packaging risk
together was that they could not tell where the bad loans were lurking.
The subprime-fuelled housing boom turned to bust and prices plunged, with millions of families losing their homes.
The
stock market crashed, unemployment ballooned and the US banking system
buckled to the point of implosion, with Lehman Brothers collapsing in
2008.
Beanie Baby boom
A lesser known tale of boom-and-bust is the Beanie Baby craze that occurred around the same time as the internet bubble.
Small
stuffed toys worth around $5 became such a hot craze that people bought
them for thousands of dollars, convinced their prices would continue to
rise.
The
firm that manufactured them, Ty, enjoyed sales of more than $1 billion
and at one point, trade in Beanie Baby toys represented as much as one
tenth of the trade on eBay.
The crash came at the end of the 1990s when Ty announced it was ending the toy.
Far
from creating excitement by reducing supply, the market was spooked,
and soon bears that had been fetching thousands were selling three for
$10.
Blowing Bubbles Boom and bust from bulbs to bitcoin
Reviewed by Martbiz.blospot.com
on
December 11, 2017
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